سیاست خارجی بریتانیا در غرب آسیا؛ اثرات و پیامدهای برگزیت

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشیار گروه مطالعات منطقه ای، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران

2 دانشجوی دکتری مطالعات منطقه ای مطالعات اروپای دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران

چکیده

در پی رفراندوم 23 ژوئن 2016، مردم بریتانیا به خروج از اتحادیه اروپا رأی مثبت داده‌اند. رصد تحولات متأثر از برگزیت برای فهم چشم‌اندازهای سیاسی، امنیتی و نظامی آینده منطقه غرب آسیا بسیار حائز اهمیت است. اثرات و پیامدهای برگزیت بر معادلات سیاسی غرب آسیا موضوعی است که در این مقاله مورد بررسی قرار می‌گیرد. سؤال اساسی این مقاله آن است که برگزیت منجر به ایجاد چه تحولی در سیاست خارجی بریتانیا شده و تأثیر احتمالی قابل ملاحظه برگزیت بر سیاست خارجی بریتانیا در منطقه غرب آسیا چه خواهد بود؟ سیاست خارجی بریتانیا در این برهه، در راستای ایده مرکزی موسوم به «بریتانیای جهانی» که مبتنی بر استثناگرایی است، سبب افزایش مبادلات نظامی و تجاری و همکاری‌های سیاسی با کشورهای عربی حوزه خلیج فارس خواهد شد و نفوذ راهبردی بریتانیا در منطقه را در آینده نزدیک، افزایش خواهد داد اما در میان‌مدت و بلندمدت موانعی برای این کشور در منطقه غرب آسیا وجود دارد. چهارچوب نظری این پژوهش بر اساس تحلیل سیاست خارجی، ارائه‌شده توسط اسپراوت‌ها و چهارچوب مفهومی مورد تأکید ما، استثناگرایی است. روش این مقاله، توصیفی‌تحلیلی است.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

Britain’s Foreign Policy in West Asia: Brexit Impacts and Consequences

نویسندگان [English]

  • Mohammad Reza Majidi 1
  • Mohammad Mahdi Sadeghi 2
1 Associate Professor, Department of Regional Studies, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
2 PhD Student, Department of Regional Studies, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
چکیده [English]

In the Brexit referendum, which took place on 23 June 2016, British people voted for their country’s exit, i.e., Brexit, from the European Union (EU). An observation of the developments impacted by Brexit seems to be significant for getting insight into the upcoming political, security, and military perspectives for the region of the Western Asia. Impacts and consequences of Brexit on political equations of Western Asia are the subject around which the present article revolves. The key questions of this article are that “What developments has the Brexit given rise to in Britain’s foreign policy?” and “What will be the conspicuous probable impact of Brexit on Britain’s foreign policy in the Western Asia?”Aligned with the central idea known as ‘Global Britain’ which has its roots in exceptionalism, post-Brexit foreign policy will increase the level of military and commercial transactions as well as political cooperation with Arab states of the Persian Gulf, augmenting Britain’s strategic penetration of the region in the close future. In the midterm and long-term, however, there are obstacles for this country in the region of the Western Asia. The theoretical framework of this research is based on the foreign policy analysis presented by Harold and Margaret Sprout and the conceptual framework we emphasize is exceptionalism. The method used in this article is descriptive-analytical.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Brexit
  • exceptionalism
  • psychological milieu
  • operational environment
  • idea of Global Britain
  • Western Asia
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