نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله English
نویسندگان English
The year 2025 has been influenced more than anything by the re-election of Donald Trump, and the international system has faced a new chapter in relations and patterns of friendship and hostility. Also, Iran has lost many of its capabilities in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Gaza, and Lebanon.. In this regard, the question has been evaluated as to what the Trump administration's strategy is towards Iran, given the ongoing negotiations between Iran and the United States and what are the scenarios and reactions in this regard? The answer to the hypothesis is that the Trump administration's policy towards Iran is based on a combined approach based on three principles: aggressive realism, extreme nationalism, and hard power, and it seems unlikely that it will revise it again without achieving significant results. The theoretical foundations of the research are based on the four principles of American foreign policy schools, and the methodology to explain the logic of the combined "maximum pressure" strategy includes the analysis of historical trends and multi-layered scenario writing. The findings indicate that Trump's approach is a combination of Jacksonianism, based on structural sanctions, indirect military pressure, and tactical crisis management. Also, based on the possible scenarios presented, if the tension continues, the option of escalating the crisis within the framework of geopolitical competition in West Asia is very likely, and the scenario of preventive military operations and the combined scenario (sanctions, conditional diplomacy, and support for domestic opponents) can be proposed as key strategies.
کلیدواژهها English