فصلنامه روابط خارجی

فصلنامه روابط خارجی

چین، ایران و تحول ژئوپلیتیکی خاورمیانه

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 استادیارگروه علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران
2 استادیار گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران.
3 استادیار، گروه معارف، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران ، ایران
چکیده
مقاله حاضر با روش توصیفی-تبیینی، سیاست خارجی چین را بعد از آغاز خروج تدریجی ایالات‌متحده آمریکا از خاورمیانه و روند تحول ژئوپلیتیکی در این منطقه را در پاسخ به این پرسش که تأثیرات این تحول ژئوپلیتیکی بر سیاست خارجی چین در رابطه با ایران چه بوده و چه خواهد بود،‌ به یاری نظریه موازنه تهدید، مورد بررسی قرار می‌دهد. فرض مقاله آن است که پکن بر مبنای رویکرد همکاری عمل‌گرایانه خود در گسترش روابط با ایران، تلاش تهران برای مقابله با نفوذ ایالات‌متحده را هم‌راستا با افزایش نفوذ جهانی چین و چالشی نیرومند در برابر تغییر نظم بین‌المللی به رهبری آمریکا می‌داند. از همین­رو از دید مقامات چینی، حمایت ایران از مقاومت در خاورمیانه به‌وضوح مانعی در مقابل تمرکز هرچه بیشتر آمریکا بر مسائل اقیانوس هند و اقیانوس آرام ارزیابی می‌شود که چین کانون اصلی منافع ژئوپلیتیک خود تلقی می‌کند. در مقابل، ایران نیز چین را حامی اصلی اقتصادی و دیپلماتیک خود در برابر فشارهای ایالات‌متحده می‌یابد. در نتیجه، چین عصر شی‌جین­پینگ بر مبنای رهیافت واقع‌گرایی تدافعی از رویکرد سیاست توازن قدرت نرم در منطقه حمایت کرده و کوشیده است تا بین روابط خود با ایران و دیگر شرکای منطقه‌ای مانند عربستان درصدد ایجاد تعادل نرم برآید. با وجود این، چینی‌ها از برهم خوردن توازن قدرت در منطقه به نفع هر یک از شرکای مهم خاورمیانه‌ای خود حمایت نکرده و حفظ وضع موجود را گزینه بهتری ارزیابی می‌کنند.
کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله English

China, Iran and the geopolitical evolution of the Middle East

نویسندگان English

Parviz Palirpoor 1
Zahra Korani 2
Mohsen Nasresfahani 3
1 Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Payame Noor University, Tehran, Iran
2 Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Payame Noor University, Tehran, Iran.
3 Assistant Professor, Department of Education, Payame Noor University, Tehran, Iran
چکیده English

This article, with a descriptive-explanatory method, in response to the question of what were the effects of this geopolitical evolution on China's foreign policy in relation to Iran and based on the threat balance theory examines China's foreign policy after the US gradual the Middle East and the process of geopolitical evolution in the region. The premise of the article is that Beijing, based on its general pragmatic cooperation approach, considers Tehran's effort to counter the influence of the United States in line with increasing China's global influence and a powerful challenge to the the international order led by the United States. Therefore, from the point of view of the Chinese authorities, Iran's support for the resistance in the Middle East is clearly an obstacle against the US's increasing focus on the issues of the main Chinese geopolitical concerns in Indian and Pacific oceans. On the other hand, Iran finds China as its main economic and diplomatic supporter against the pressures of the United States. As a result, China in the era of Xi Jinping has supported and tried to create a soft balance between its relations with Iran and other regional partners such as Saudi Arabia based on a threat balance policy. Despite this, Beijing does not support the disruption of the balance of power in the region in favor of any of his important partners in the Middle East and consider maintaining the status quo as a better option.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

China
Iran
threat balance
Middle East
  • شورای راهبردی روابط خارجی ایران(1399)، خروج آمریکا از افغانستان؛ از حرف تا عمل،26/7/1399.                        https://www.scfr.ir/f
  • یاری و اسفندیاری (1397). مکتب ژئوپلیتیک آمریکایی و شبکه ژئوپلیتیکی منطقه‌ای ساختار نوین نظام بین‌الملل. فصلنامه سیاست، 48(3).
  • چگنی‌زاده، غلامعلی؛ رضوی، حسین (1401)، ابتکار کمربند-راه و آثار راهبردی آن بر مناسبات هند و چین (2022-2013)، فصلنامه روابط خارجی،14(2).
  • جعفری. علی اکبر؛ فلاح. مهرداد (1402). هژمونی منطقه‌ای چین در آسیای مرکزی و موازنه تهدید با روسیه. فصلنامه روابط خارجی، 15 (1).
  • ترکی. هادی؛ شریعتی، شهروز (1402). نسبت‌سنجی مواضع گفتمانی رهبران ایران و چین درباره نظم بین‌المللی. فصلنامه روابط خارجی، 16 (1).

 

References

  • Alterman, Jon B. (2019). written testimony for the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on the Middle East, North Africa, and international Terrorism, Hearing on Chinese and Russian Influence in the Middle East, May 9, 2019, 5.
  • Abdilahi, A. I. (2020). The Geopolitics and Impacts of China's" One Belt, One Road" Initiatives in The Horn of Africa. European Journal of Political Science Studies, [S.l.], v. 3, n. 2, may 2020. ISSN 2601-2766. Available at: . Date accessed: 17 dec. 2020. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.46827/ejpss.v3i2.808.
  • Abdollahpour, Behzad. 2020: China's western horizon: Beijing and the new geopolitics of Eurasia International Affairs, Volume 96, Issue 6, November 2020, Pages 1684–1685, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiaa179.
  • Alterman, J. (2013). ‘China’s balancing act in the Gulf’, Washington D.C.: Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2013, p. 6, available at: https://csis.org/files/publication/130821_Alterman_China Gulf_Web.pdf (searched date: 02 August 2020)
  • Alterman, Jon B. (2019). May 9: “Chinese and Russian Influence in the Middle East,” (Congressional testimony, Washington, DC), https://docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA13/20190509/109455/HHRG-116-FA13-Wstate-AltermanJ-20190509.pdf.
  • Andersen, L.E., & Jiang, Y. (2018). China’s engagement in Pakistan, Afghanistan and Xinjiang. Will China’s root cause model provide regional stability and security? DIIS report 2018: 06. Retrieved from https://www.diis.dk/publikationer/chinas-developmentstability-root-cause-model-faceschallenges (Last Accessed: 12/412020)
  • Blanchard, Jean-Marc F. & Flint, Colin (2017). The Geopolitics of China’s Maritime Silk Road Initiative, Geopolitics, 22:2, 223-245, DOI: 1080/14650045.2017.1291503.
  • Cornwell, A. (2019). September: U.S. flags Huawei 5g network security concerns to Gulf allies. Reuters. Retrieved from https://www.reuters.com/article/us-huawei-security-usa-gulf/u-s-flags-huawei-5g-network-security-concerns-to-gulf-allies-idUSKCN1VX241, last Retrieved: 11/9/2020.
  • China issues white paper on peaceful developmenthttps, (2020). fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/topics_665678/whitepaper_665742/t856325.shtml, 2011/09/07, (Last Accessed, 11/7/2020).
  • Degang, Sun. (2011). "Six decades of Chinese middle east studies: A review." Bustan: The Middle East Book Review 2, no. 1, pp. 15-32.
  • Degang Sun, and Zoubir, Yahia, (2018). “China’s Participation in Conflict Resolution in the Middle East and North Africa: A Case of Quasi-Mediation Diplomacy?” Journal of Contemporary China, 27, no. 110, 224–43.
  • Degang, Sun, (2019). “Lun 21 shiji zhongguo dui zhongdong guojia de huoban waijiao” [On China’s partner diplomacy towards Middle Eastern countries in the 21st century], Shijie jingji yu zhengzhi [World Economics and Politics], no. 7 (2019): 106–30.
  • Domínguez, Gabriel, (2005). “China seeking to link Iran to its New Silk Road,” Deutsche Welle, December, 15, 2005, https://www.dw.com/en/china-seeking-to-link-iran-to-its-new-silk-road/a-18917586.Michael Singh, “China’s Middle East Tour,” Foreign Affairs, January 24, 2016, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2016-01-24/chinas-middle-east-tour.
  • Gong, Ue. (2019). “The Belt & Road Initiative and China’s Influence in Southeast Asia,” The Pacific Review, 32, no. 4, 635-665.
  • Feng,Liu, (2014). Concept generation and theoretical innovation in international relations, Guoji zhengzhi yanjiu The Journal of International Studies, no. 4. 26–39.
  • FMPRC Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China (FMPRC), China’s Arab Policy Paper, January 2016. https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/wjdt_665385/2649_665393/201601/t20160114_679437.html (accessed 25 January 2021).
  • Huntington, Samuel (1998). The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order, New York: Simon & Schuster.
  • Hussain, F & Hussain, Mezhar (2017). China-Pak Economic Corridor (CPEC) And Its Geopolitical Paradigms, International Journal of Social Sciences, Humanities and Education, Volume 1, Number 2, 2017, Issn 2521-0041
  • https://www.topuniversities.com/university-rankings/world-university-rankings/2020
  • Joseph S. Nye, (2008). Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics, New York: Public
  • Joseph Nye, (2006). “Think Again: Soft Power,” Foreign Policy (23 February).
  • Jeremy Garlick and Radka Havlová, (2020). “China’s ‘Belt and Road’ Economic Diplomacy in the Persian Gulf: Strategic Hedging amidst Saudi-Iranian Regional Rivalry,” Journal of Current Chinese Affairs (January 30,, https://doi.org/10.1177%2F1868102619898706.
  • Karlin, Mara and Cofman Wittes, Tamar, 2019: “America’s Middle East Purgatory: The Case for Doing Less,” Foreign Affairs 98, no. 1 (January/February 2019): 88-100, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/middle-east/2018-12-11/americas-middle-east-purgatory.
  • Lee, H. (2017). Power Politics Behind the Transforming Geopolitics in East Asia. East Asia34, 307–320. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12140-017-9280-3.
  • Liu, Lina, (2021). “Beyond the Status Quo and Revisionism: An Analysis of the Role of China and the Approaches of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) to the Global Order,” Asian Journal of Political Science, 29, no. 1, 88-109.
  • Liming, Hua, (2020). “The Iran Nuclear Issue and China’s Middle East Diplomacy,” Arab World Studies 6 (November 2014): 13–15; Erika Holmquist and Johan Englund, “ China and Iran – An Unequal Friendship,” Swedish Defense Research Agency, May 2020, 10.
  • Maha S. Kamel(2018). China’s Belt and Road Initiative: Implications for the Middle East, Cambridge Review of International Affairs, 31:1, 76-95, DOI: 1080/09557571.2018.1480592.
  • Mashino, Ito, (2020). The Future of The Middle East Caught Between Us -China And Us-Russia Rivalry, EMEA & Russia Dept., Global Economic & Political Studies Div.
  • Mitsui & Co. Global Strategic Studies Institute, (2020). Available at: https://www.mitsui.com/mgssi/en/report/detail/__icsFiles/afieldfile/2020/09/24/2008e_mashino_e.pdf, (Last Retrieved: 11/9/2020).
  • MingjiangLi, (2008). “China Debates Soft Power,”ChineseJournalofInternationalPolitics, 2 2008, pp. 287–308.
  • Shibley Telhami, “American Attitudes toward the Middle East,” (College Park, MD: University of Maryland, October 2019), available at: https://criticalissues.umd.edu/sites/criticalissues.umd.edu/files/UMCIP%20Middle%20East%20PowerPoint.pdf; (Last Accessed: 12/5/2020).
  • Sun, Degang, (2019). China’s approach to the Middle East: Development before democracy, in China’s approach to the Middle East: Development before democracy, The ECFR Council, Policy Brief 21 October 2019, https://ecfr.eu/publication/china_great_game_middle_east/ (Last Accessed: 12/5/2020).
  • Tarabay, Jamie, (2018). “CIA Official: China Wants to Replace US as World Superpower,” CNN (21 July 2018), at inuence/index.html> (Last Accessed: 11/7/2020).
  • United States Department of Defense. (2015). June: The national military strategy of the United States of America 2015, The United States military’s contribution to national security. Retrieved from https://www.jcs.mil/Portals/36/Documents/Publications/ (Last Accessed: 12/5/2020)
  • United States Department Of Defense. (2018). January: Summary of the 2018 National Defense Strategy of the United States of America: Sharpening the American military’s competitive edge. Retrieved from https://dod.defense.gov/Portals/1/Documents/pubs/ 2018-National-Defense-Strategy-Summary.pdf; (Last Retrieved: 11/9/2020).
  • United States White House Office. (2017). December: The National Security Strategy of the United States of America. Retrieved from https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp- content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf (Last Retrieved: 11/9/2020).
  • US Department of Defense, (2018). “2018 National Defense Strategy of the United States of America” (2018), at https://www.defense.gov/Portals/1/Documents/pubs/2018-National-Defense-Strategy-pdf (Last Retrieved: 11/9/2020).
  • S. Energy Information Administration last accessed: 24 October 2020). (EIA), 2020: https://www.eia.gov/international/analysis/country/CHN (Last Retrieved: 11/9/2020).
  • “Visions and Actions on Jointly Building Silk Road Economic Belt and 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road,” Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China, March 3, 2015, https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/zxxx_662805/t1249618.shtml; “China’s Arab Policy Paper,” Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China, January 2016, https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/zxxx_662805/t1331683.shtml.
  • “Wang’s Mideast Visit Secures Vaccine Joint Production, Expands Philosophy of Win-win”, Global Times, 29 March 2021, https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202103/1219777. shtml (accessed 2 June 2021).
  • Yinhong, Shi 2011. “ How t he Middle East ’s Uprisings Affect China’s Foreign Relat ions,” East Asia Forum, May 17, 2011. https://www.eastasiaforum.org/2011/05/17/how-the-middle-east-s-uprisings-affect-china-s-foreign-relations/.
  • Zheng, Yongnian and Wen Xin Lim. (2017). "The Changing Geopolitical Landscape, China and the World Order in the 21st Century." China: An International Journal, vol. 15 no. 1, 2017, p. 4-23. Project MUSEjhu.edu/article/650097.
  • Zhou Weifeng and Esteban,Mario, (2018). “Beyond Balancing: China’s Approach Towards the Belt and Road Initiative,” Journal of Contemporary China, 27, no. 112, 487-501.